Saturday, September 03, 2005

Thunderstorm Outlook: Weekend 3 - 4 September

An unstable airmass will be present over southern Germany, northern Italy, and also the area of southwestern France/northern Spain. However, for Saturday night, models forecast only precipitation at the south side of the Alps, so that those will likely be tonight's only sustained storms... which has come to be typical this summer. For Sunday night a cold front will affect western France, and thunderstorms should result because of that, but models are late with generating precipitation - destabilization might not be enough for storms to develop before midnight.

Wednesday, August 31, 2005

Thunderstorm Outlook 31 August - 2 September

Finally, as the southern flow has returned and low pressure areas approach from the ocean, we can expect thunderstorms at closer range again tonight. Spain and southern to central France will mostly remain favorable for thunderstorms till Saturday morning. The conditions do not look very exciting yet for strong nightly storms, but who knows...

Update 31 Aug 23:45: A strong thunderstorm has formed in the southwest of France and is being monitored by both sprite cameras.