Thunderstorm Outlook: Sun 7 - Thu 11 August

Seems like we don't have to wait as long as models indicated earlier: finally there will be new chances for thunderstorms to occur in our observation area this week, as low pressure develops over southwestern Europe. As usual, chances of larger nocturnal storms get better with time. Sunday night there is a slight chance of some thunderstorms over Spain, which probably don't last into the night. Monday night the chances are better, and the Pyrenees probably trigger some storms as well. Tuesday night seems to be a more serious night with storms reaching into northern Spain and southwestern France, and Wednesday night instability will have been advected into a larger portion of France, with widespread thunderstorms possible. If all of this comes true, Thursday night will be the last to feature thunderstorms at close range.